Gold divides investors like nothing else. To one camp it is the only honest money. To the other it is a shiny rock with a marketing department. The useful position is somewhere in between, and it starts with being precise about what gold actually is.
Gold produces nothing
This is not a criticism, it is a definition. A company generates profits; a bond pays a coupon; a property collects rent. Gold sits in a vault and costs you storage. Its entire return comes from someone paying more for it later.
That means gold cannot be valued the way a business can. There is no cash flow to discount and no intrinsic value to compute — only supply, demand and sentiment. Anyone giving you a precise fair value for gold is guessing with more confidence than the maths supports.
Is it an inflation hedge?
Less reliably than the marketing suggests. Gold has protected purchasing power over very long periods — centuries — and has performed strongly during specific inflationary crises. But it has also gone through long stretches of losing real value while inflation ran. Over the horizons that matter to an actual investor, it is an inconsistent inflation hedge at best.
What it is better at
Gold's more defensible role is as crisis insurance — specifically against monetary and geopolitical dislocation. It is nobody's liability. It does not default, cannot be diluted by issuing more shares, and does not depend on a government or a bank honouring anything. In episodes where trust in institutions is the problem, that property is genuinely valuable.
Ways to own it
- Physical bullion — no counterparty, but storage, insurance and wide dealer spreads.
- Physically-backed ETCs — cheap, liquid, and the usual choice. Check that it is allocated and physically backed, not a synthetic note.
- Mining shares — not gold. These are equities with operational, political and management risk layered on top of the gold price. They behave like stocks when you least want them to.
How much
Advocates say 5–10%. The honest answer is that it depends on what you want it for. If it is insurance, size it like insurance: small, and do not expect it to make you money. If you are buying it because it has just gone up, you are not buying insurance — you are buying momentum and calling it prudence.
Summary
Gold is not dead money and not a magic hedge. It is an uncorrelated store of value with no cash flow, useful in small size, and least useful at the moment everyone is talking about it.